I have downgraded my forecasts to 2016 accordingly however to 2% annual growth. I suspect Eye Care is a division AbbVie can turn around given time, and I feel that with regards to oncology, where AbbVie has the strongest pipeline assets - lymphoma bispecific Epcoritamab may be approved to treat large B-cell lymphoma, and peak sales estimates range from $1.5 - $3bn, although AbbVie will not earn all of that since the product is co-developed with Genmab. AbbVie has been working hard to ensure the 2 drugs it has developed to replace Humira - Skyrizi, which inhibits the pro-inflammatory cytokine IL23, and Rinvoq, a Janus Kinase (enzymes involved in immune cell function) inhibitor - are winning approvals and growing sales in Humira's markets. . How do I arrive at my share price target? Allergan was a troubled company in many ways, but there is no doubting the strength of its products and pipeline. As we can see, sales of Humira are still climbing, with losses in Europe - where revenues fell by 14% to $699m - offset by growth in the US, to $4.7bn, up 10% year-on-year. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc.2019. The company has a robust pipeline of new products that are in some stage of clinical trials. Armed with management's detailed guidance and commentary on sales performance of key assets and new product launches, however, I have completed sales projections for AbbVie to 2030, which I will share in this post, highlighting areas of strength and potential weaknesses. In February, a Phase 3 induction study saw positive top-line results. After creating the income statement I prepare the discounted cash flow/EBITDA multiple analysis. It should be noted that the strength of the competition AbbVie faces from other Pharma's desperate to claim a larger share of the immunology markets after Humira's LOE is fierce - Eli Lilly's (LLY) Olumiant, Pfizer's (PFE) Zeljanz, Amgen's Otezla, Bristol Myers Squibb's (BMY) Zeposia, Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Tremfya, Novartis' (NVS) Cosentyx and Regeneron (REGN) / Sanofi's (SNY) Dupixent to name a few. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Skyrizi is a collaboration between Boehringer Ingelheim and AbbVie, with AbbVie leading development and commercialisation globally. All Rights Reserved. Duodopa is approved for Parkinson's Disease but Gonzalez believes that the subcutaneous non-surgical delivery system of candidate ABBV951 can "significantly expand the patient population currently addressed by Duopa", and sees the drug as yet another future blockbuster. Negative dynamics for AbbVie shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.976%. Trading CFDs is high risk and is not suitable for everyone. Having so much debt in a prevailing inflationary environment is also unattractive. approvals of Humira, Skyrizi, Rinvoq (AbbVie JPM Healthcare conference presentation). The company can be reached via phone at (847) 932-7900 or via fax at 302-655-5049. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. View our ABBV earnings forecast. Other approved ADC's targeting the c-Met protein, a validated target in NSCLC, include Novartis Tabrecta, which has been pegged for peak sales of ~$1.5bn, which seems a realistic target for Teliso given how large the lung cancer market is - the largest of all oncology markets. Our Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination provides important information about our products and who our products are more likely to be suited to Capital.com does not provide financial or investment advice and you should seek independent advice if you are unsure of the risks or whether our products are suitable for you. I will conclude this analysis by stating that, based on all available information, market headwinds and tailwinds, competitors, and opportunities via its products and pipeline, I still consider AbbVie to be a strong investment opportunity. I do much more than just articles at Haggerston BioHealth: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. Multidrug Resistant Bacteria Treatment Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2030) Published: March 2, 2023 at 2:55 a.m. call (03) 8658 0539 support.au@capital.com. Insiders that own company stock include Azita Saleki-Gerhardt, Brian L Durkin, Carlos Alban, Carrie C Strom, Carrie C Strom, Elaine K Sorg, Henry O Gosebruch, Jeffrey Ryan Stewart, Laura J Schumacher, Michael Severino, Perry C Siatis, Richard A Gonzalez, Robert A Michael, Roxanne S Austin, Scott T Reents, Timothy J Richmond and Timothy J Richmond. When looking for ABBV stock forecasts, its important to bear in mind that analysts forecasts can be wrong. Investors are already flocking there for a chance at 1,000%+ returns. The Abbvie stock forecast for 2025 had the price at $259.018. My calculation is that Humira revenues in 2023 will be 80% of the 2022 figure, or $16.7bn. We're currently running a sale at my private investing ideas service, Haggerston BioHealth, where members get access to portfolios, market alerts, real-time chat, and more. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. See what's happening in the market right now with MarketBeat's real-time news feed. 67.71% of the stock of AbbVie is held by institutions. . AbbVie Stock: ABBV Overview and Dividend Potential, Wall Street Sees 23% Upside In Revance, Maker Of Botox Competitor (ABBV), Analyst Confidence in Eli Lilly Boosted by Product Pipeline (ABBV), Johnson & Johnson: Taking The Bull By The Horns? Get short term trading ideas from the MarketBeat Idea Engine. The companys original winner, Humira, is still the number one revenue source but the portfolio has been greatly expanded. I'll also share some a forward income statement and discounted cash flow analysis that suggests the present value of AbbVie shares ought to trade as high as $176, implying that shares are presently discounted by as much as 18% to their true worth. Please log in to your account or sign up in order to add this asset to your watchlist. AbbVie Fair Value Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030 In the last two years, AbbVie's Price has grown, increasing from $91.55 to $130.05 - an increase of 42.06%. The drug is now approved in severe Rheumatoid Arthritis, active Psoriatic Arthritis, moderate to severe Atopic Dermatitis, Ulcerative Colitis, active Ankylosing Spondylitis, with Crohn's Disease the next approval on the list. Aurora Cannabis Revenue Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030. The division delivered >$1.65bn in sales in Q2'22, up >15% year-on-year, and with Vraylar, Ubrelvy and possibly Qulipta all earmarked for blockbuster sales - $4bn in the case of Vraylar - my forecasting suggests this division could double in size by 2030, from ~$6.6bn revenues generated in FY22, to >$13.5bn by 2030. Payout ratios above 75% are not desirable because they may not be sustainable. As per management's guidance, I am modelling for $5.7bn of revenues in 2023, with growth beginning to accelerate substantially from 2025 / 26 onwards. A AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) insider lowered their holding by 87% earlier this year, These 2 Dividend Stocks Could Be a Great Addition to Your Income Portfolio, AbbVie Can Write Diversified Growth Story Without Humira, Rest Of The Business Has Strength, Analyst Says, AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) Receives New Coverage from Analysts at Guggenheim, AbbVie to Present at the Cowen 43rd Annual Health Care Conference, AbbVie Receives Positive CHMP Opinion for Upadacitinib (RINVOQ) for the Treatment of Adults with Moderate to Severe Crohn's Disease, AbbVie Highlights Robust Gastroenterology Portfolio with New Analyses and Data in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases at the 18th Congress of European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation (ECCO), 3 Stocks to Buy Right Now That Are Cash Cows, The painfully high price of Humira is patently wrong, AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) SVP Sells $4,310,832.64 in Stock, StockNews.com Upgrades AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) to "Strong-Buy", AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) Director Sells $1,505,000.00 in Stock, Azita Saleki-Gerhardt Sells 25,000 Shares of AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) Stock, AbbVie and Capsida Biotherapeutics Expand Strategic Collaboration to Develop Targeted Genetic Medicines for Eye Diseases with High Unmet Need, view top-rated stocks among Wall Street analysts, 1 NORTH WAUKEGAN ROAD, NORTH CHICAGO IL, 60064. 2022 Cable News Network. When I began this post it was in my mind to give AbbVie stock a "Hold" rating owing to an underwhelming - on some levels - set of Q2'22 earnings, some concerns around high revenue generating products such as Imbruvica, Juvederm, and Restasis, the disappearance of the Women's Health division, the imminent LOE for Humira and the high levels of debt. If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. The median. Among the more notable are ImmuVen, Pharamcyclics and Allergan plc. Zscaler, Inc Plummets, Is It Time To Buy The Dip? Disclaimer. AbbVie product revenues by quarter and year since FY20. There has been a raft of price-moving news for Abbvie, which may positively affect the stock price. The following companies are subsidiares of AbbVie: AbbVie (Gibraltar) Holdings Limited, AbbVie (Gibraltar) Holdings Limited Luxembourg S.C.S., AbbVie (Gibraltar) Limited, AbbVie (Pty) Ltd., AbbVie A/S, AbbVie AB, AbbVie AG, AbbVie AS, AbbVie Australasia Holdings Limited, AbbVie B.V., AbbVie Bahamas Ltd., AbbVie Biofarmacevtska druba d.o.o., AbbVie Biopharmaceuticals GmbH, AbbVie Biopharmaceuticals LLC, AbbVie Biopharmaceuticals Ltd., AbbVie Bioresearch Center Inc., AbbVie Biotech Ventures Inc., AbbVie Biotechnology GmbH, AbbVie Biotechnology Ltd, AbbVie Biotherapeutics Inc., AbbVie Biotherapeutics Limited, AbbVie Central Finance B.V., AbbVie Corp, AbbVie Corporation, AbbVie Deutschland GmbH & Co. KG, AbbVie EOOD, AbbVie Endocrine Inc., AbbVie Endocrinology Inc., AbbVie Farmacuticos S.A. de C.V., AbbVie Farmacutica Ltda., AbbVie Finance B.V., AbbVie Finance Corporation, AbbVie Finance LLC, AbbVie GK, AbbVie GmbH, AbbVie Holdings Corporation, AbbVie Holdings Inc., AbbVie Holdings KK, AbbVie Holdings SAS, AbbVie Holdings Unlimited, AbbVie Holdings s.r.o., AbbVie International S. r.l., AbbVie Investments Limited, AbbVie Investments S. r.l., AbbVie Ireland Holdings Limited, AbbVie Ireland NL B.V., AbbVie Ireland Unlimited Company, AbbVie Japan Holdings B.V., AbbVie Kft., AbbVie Komplementr GmbH, AbbVie L.L.C., AbbVie L.da, AbbVie Limited, AbbVie Limited Liability Company, AbbVie Logistics B.V., AbbVie Ltd, AbbVie Ltd., AbbVie Manufacturing Management Limited, AbbVie Nederland Holdings B.V., AbbVie Operations Singapore Pte. I look forward to seeing if Epcoritamab is approved this year, and although there is not a lot else in the near-term pipeline at this time, I also look forward to seeing how other projects may progress, e.g., opportunities in Parkinson's Disease, Alzheimer's and Cystic Fibrosis. The material provided on this website is for information purposes only and should not be understood as an investment advice. It revealed that patients with moderate to severe Crohns disease receiving Abbvies Rinvoq achieved steroid-free clinical remission in significantly higher numbers than patients receiving a placebo. Currently, AbbVie sees a significantly higher portion of every dollar end up as cash to do with what they please. American biopharmaceutical company Abbvie (ABBV) has surged nearly 13% year to date (YTD), and 35% year-over-year (YOY), as of 30 June. Remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results and you should never invest more money than you can afford to lose. AbbVie is a leader in ESG and sustainability. Between September 2021 and April 2022, AbbVie stock went on a sensational bull run, gaining 62% and hitting an all-time peak of $174. That was below AbbVie stock analysts' view for $14.16. Over the next nine years, experts believe that GSK's Free Cash Flow will grow at a rate of 1.98%. Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools: You have already added five stocks to your watchlist. How often does AbbVie pay dividends? In terms of market cap, it ranks third behind Pfizer ( PFE) and Novo Nordisk ( NVO ). Kateryna Onyshchuk/iStock via Getty Images. Pharmaceuticals are often valued based on a philosophy of "jam tomorrow" as opposed to jam today i.e. AbbVie Inc. is a US-based biopharma company with global operations. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. All generate blockbuster <$1bn per annum sales - in Stelara's case >$9bn per annum, and in Enbrel's case, >$4.5bn. That reflects uncertainty about what the future holds for AbbVie. What that means is, essentially it will be on formulary with biosimilars, but there won't be any difference between the biosimilar and Humira from a co-pay standpoint or any kind of a step editing. The stock projection varied from the low price target of $135 to the high of $200. 8.05% Join the 500.000+ traders worldwide that chose to trade with Capital.com, Also you can contact us: This could present more profit potential for drugmakers as well as investors. Out of the most recent ratings, BMO Capital Markets Gary Nachman raised its price target from $161 to $174 with an outperform rating, while Truist Financial analyst Robyn Karnauskas raised the Abbvie stock prediction from $118 to $135 while raising rating to a buy. The P/E ratio of AbbVie is 23.61, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 126.03. AbbVie's stock was trading at $161.61 on January 1st, 2023. All times are ET. It . Other profitable therapies include but are not limited to SKYRIZI for psoriasis, RINVOQ for rheumatoid arthritis and IMBRUVICA and VENCLEXTA for chronic leukemia conditions. P/B Ratios above 3 indicate that a company could be overvalued with respect to its assets and liabilities. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company. (my tables and forecasting). Receive regular, detailed analysis focused on biotech and healthcare stocks. What is ABBV's Earnings Per Share (EPS) forecast for 2023-2025? What is Richard A. Gonzalez's approval rating as AbbVie's CEO? AbbVie saw a increase in short interest in February. As I have mentioned in previous notes, however, the gains owe more to price hikes than sales volumes, and come 2023 and the LOE, even AbbVie admits the blow to revenues will be substantial. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ABBV, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares. AbbVie's mailing address is 1 NORTH WAUKEGAN ROAD, NORTH CHICAGO IL, 60064. The dividend payout ratio is 89.56%. I take the total revenue figure from each year and plug it into an income statement forecast as follows: AbbVie income statement forecast. Specifically, they have bought $0.00 in company stock and sold $23,102,528.00 in company stock. In this post I model AbbVie product sales to 2030 - including pipeline assets - and use discounted cash flow analysis to calculate a present day share price target. The acquisition expanded AbbVies neuroscience portfolio, adding first-in-class modulators of the synaptic vesicle protein 2A, including lead molecule SDI-118 currently in Phase 1b studies. According to 34 stock analysts, the average 12-month stock price forecast for AbbVie stock is $166.14, which predicts an increase of 7.62%. Ltd., AbbVie Pty Ltd, AbbVie Purchasing LLC, AbbVie Real Estate Management GmbH, AbbVie Research B.V., AbbVie Resources Inc., AbbVie Resources International Inc., AbbVie Respiratory LLC, AbbVie S. de R.L., AbbVie S.A., AbbVie S.A., AbbVie S.A.S., AbbVie S.R.L., AbbVie S.r.l., AbbVie S. r.l., AbbVie SA, AbbVie SAS, AbbVie SIA, AbbVie Sarl, AbbVie Sdn. Sign-up to receive the latest news and ratings for AbbVie and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter. AbbVie's post-Humira LOE plans are not riskless, and its targets are ambitious, but nevertheless I see no harm in picking up shares in the Pharma at the current price, accepting a generous 4% dividend, and likely benefitting from share repurchases and a steadily growing share price until 2030. Assuming there are 2 highly effective drugs for 1 disease, PMedicine seeks to identify which patients respond better to each. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. The 21 analysts offering 1 year price forecasts for ABBV have a max estimate of and a min estimate of . 164.71 0.00 0.00%. View the best growth stocks for 2023 here. The company originated as the bio-pharma segment of Abbott Laboratories and was spun off in late 2012. The Abbvie stock forecast for 2025 had the price at $259.018. As we can see above one of either Skyrizi or Rinvoq has now been approved for all of the same indications as Humira is, except for Hidradenitis Suppurativa, although Rinvoq is undergoing a Phase study in this indication. That led to an overall 6% year-on-year gain of 6%, and a 13% sequential gain. View ABBV analyst ratings or view top-rated stocks. Upgrade to MarketBeat Daily Premium to add more stocks to your watchlist. For full year 2022, Abbvie predicted the adjusted diluted EPS guidance range at $14.00 to $14.20 and $13.92 to $14.12. AbbVie Oncology Division Forward Revenue Projections (my table and assumtpions). AbbVie has fought off patent challenges against Humira for years longer than expected, and despite losing exclusivity in Europe in 2020, a series of price hikes and market dominance in the US in indications such as Rheumatoid Arthritis ("RA"), Psoriatic Arthritis ("PsA"), Crohn's Disease ("CD"), and Ulcerative Colitis ("UC") - have enabled the drug's sales revenues to keep growing. The weighted average cost of capital I estimate to be 9.6% - I tend to use a WACC of 10% for most Big Pharma analysis. Among the many avenues of research and innovation are the advancement of precision medicine or pMedicine. (AbbVie JPM Healthcare conference presentation). z o.o., AbbVie Productos Farmacuticos Limitada, AbbVie Products LLC, AbbVie Promoo L.da, AbbVie Pte. Based on earnings estimates, ABBV will have a dividend payout ratio of 54.11% next year. The company is focused on research and has a number of collaborations and partnerships to that end. Although the company has admitted that 2023 earnings will likely be down in 2022 - guidance for last year is for earnings per share ("EPS') of $13.84 - $13.88 on an adjusted diluted basis, versus $12.7 in 2021 - Gonzalez and his team were making some bold promises to investors at this year's JP Morgan Healthcare conference. Compare your portfolio performance to leading indices and get personalized stock ideas based on your portfolio. The average price target is $163.64 with a high forecast of $190.00 and a low forecast of $133.00. The most recent increase was . Venclexta continues to pick up momentum with sales up 16% to >$500m in Q2'22, and I forecast the drug to exceed $3.2bn in revenues by the end of the decade. AbbVie declared a quarterly dividend on Thursday, February 16th. If you rely on the information on this page then you do so entirely on your own risk. Drug pricing is another issue - there is bipartisan, and international pressure on US Pharmas to reduce drug pricing, particularly outside of the US. According to analysts' consensus price target of $161.12, AbbVie has a forecasted upside of 3.2% from its current price of $156.06. AbbVie had a net margin of 20.39% and a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 154.52%. Within eye care, Restasis was a major disappointment, and the entire division seems to be struggling, with total revenues falling from ~$920m in Q2'21, to ~$720m in Q2'22. Over the years, AbbView Inc. has made numerous acquisitions. Management believes these 2 drugs could one day generate $15bn in peak sales, going a long way to solving the Humira loss of exclusivity ("LOE") problem. Although Wallet Investor did not provide targets for 2030, its longer-term Abbvie stock prediction expected the price to hit $300.386 in June 2027. GSK Free Cash Flow Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030. (my table and forecasts). Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. Currently, the company has a "stable" rating, but that must be maintained or investors will perceive the company as unsafe to invest in and that will drag the share price down rapidly. The total revenue in 2021 was $56.20 billion with a 31% operating margin. Neuroscience looks highly promising too, and aesthetics capable of driving some respectable growth driven by old stager Botox. Forecast target price for 03-06-2023: $ 152.58. It is in business to discover, develop, manufacture and market pharmaceuticals globally but in a way that best serves the needs of patients and the global community. Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. Gonzalez has vigorously defended AbbVie against accusations of price manipulation, but the company is renowned for pushing drug prices up annually and should its powerful lobbies become less powerful in the face of external pressure, once again, the sector will start to look unattractive for investors. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. Neuroscience is one of AbbVie's most intriguing divisions and perhaps the hardest to model. Skyrizi has shown superiority to Humira in fields such as plaque psoriasis by a statistically significant amount, with a comparable safety profile, whilst Rinvoq has shown superiority in e.g. There is no mention of Women's Health in the Q2'22 earnings call or in the 10-Q submission to the SEC, or any of the drugs within it, yet the divisions have not (to the best of my knowledge) been sold, despite rumors it was put up for sale at ~$5bn. But AbbVie is also keen to explore solid tumors, and I am therefore adding an additional $1.5bn of revenues from that source by 2030. That makes companies like AbbVie generally very attractive to investors although it should be noted that AbbVie carries a very high level of debt which stood at >$60bn as of Q322 - more or less the amount the company paid to acquire Allergan. The consensus rating was moderate buy based on 16 analysts ratings, with 10 recommending buy, five hold and sell. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh. Management are very optimistic on Vraylar, with Gonzalez describing it as "now the only antipsychotic that is a dopamine and serotonin partial agonist approved for the treatment of the most common forms of depression, Bipolar 1 and MDD" and targeting >$5bn peak sales. Both of these assets appear to be doing the job they were intended for - protecting AbbVie's dominance in various auto-immune markets - and now represent ~13% of AbbVie's total revenue generation. For the next year, analysts predict that Free Cash Flow will reach 6.91B - an increase of 1.94%. When looking for ABBV stock forecasts, it's important to bear in mind that analysts' forecasts can be wrong. Partnerships are with universities, medical facilities, research organizations and other pharmaceutical companies. This has been in spite of a string of macroeconomic headwinds such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war that has contributed to record high inflation in the US and the UK, and the companys psoriatic arthritis drug Adalimumab, known as Humira, facing biosimilar rivals in the US from 2023. PEG Ratios above 1 indicate that a company could be overvalued. Forecast . As with debt, if approval and revenue targets aren't met, it can quickly result in a loss of faith in the company. psoriatic arthritis at a lower dose, again with a comparable safety profile, and has also won approval in a field where Humira has not, namely Atopic Dermatitis. An investment in AbbVie is not without risk, but my contention is that this Pharma is in good hands - CEO Gonzalez has made few mistakes during his near-decade in charge - and will emerge from the Humira LOE a stronger and more diverse company.